Geopolitics and maritime routes: Cesce's analysis of logistics costs -

International logistics

The current international context, marked by uncertainty and instability, is directly impacting the activity of companies focused on internationalization and freight forwarding companies, by directly affecting trade routes, transit times, risks and regulations.

Cesce will bring together its experts in country risk and business development in the Cámara de Comercio de Sevilla on June 24th. The objective of the event is to analyze the complex global scenario, marked by instability in strategic corridors such as the Mar Rojo, and its direct impact on the costs and competitiveness of Spanish exporting companies.

Geopolitics as a key factor in the supply chain

The current international context, characterized by increasing uncertainty, is redefining the rules of global trade. Tensions in Oriente Medio, with particular emphasis on key points such as the Estrecho de OrmuzThese factors have dramatically increased the risks associated with freight transport. This situation is forcing freight forwarders and logistics departments to constantly re-evaluate their operations, facing longer and more complex routes, increased customs bureaucracy, and significant cost volatility.

To address this issue, the event will include the participation of Pablo ArjonaSenior Country Risk Analyst at Cesce, who will give a presentation entitled 'Global Geopolitics and its impact on maritime routes'According to company analysts, the current situation demands a new approach to supply chain management. “We are in a scenario where traditional logistics planning is no longer sufficient. Companies must integrate real-time geopolitical analysis to anticipate disruptions in key corridors such as the Mar Rojo"This not only lengthens transit times, but also completely reconfigures cost structures," the insurer points out.

The event is specifically aimed at professionals in the logistics and port sector, executives of companies with international operations, and public entities interested in understanding the key aspects of an environment that directly impacts the economy and business competitiveness. The delegation from Cesce will be led by Alvaro Portes, Southern Territorial Director, and will also be attended by Silvia BanchiniCommercial and Operations Director of inAtlas-Grupo Cesce.

Concept	Detail
Event	Markets, geopolitics and maritime routes: keys to the global scenario
Date and Time	June 24, 2026, from 12:00 to 14:00 H
Place	Cámara de Comercio de Sevilla – Plaza de la Contratación 8, 41004 Sevilla
Key Speakers (Cesce)	Pablo Arjona (Country Risk Analyst), Alvaro Portes (Southern Territorial Director), Silvia Banchini (Commercial Director) inAtlas)

Key points and frequently asked questions about Geopolitics and Maritime Routes

How does the crisis in the Red Sea affect Spanish exporters?

The crisis on this key shipping route is forcing ships to be diverted south of ÁfricaThis translates into increased transit times of between 10 and 15 days. This implies higher freight costs, increased transport insurance premiums, and a greater need for working capital to finance inventories for a longer period, directly impacting liquidity and competitiveness.

What measures can companies take to mitigate these logistical risks?

Experts recommend a multifactorial strategy. First, the diversification of routes and logistics providers to avoid depending on a single broker. Secondly, the hiring of credit and transport insurance that offer coverage against geopolitical and commercial risks. Finally, it is essential to use country risk analysis tools to make informed decisions about markets and operations.

Is instability in shipping routes expected to be a long-term problem?

Analysts believe that the current volatility is not a temporary phenomenon, but rather part of a new paradigm in global trade. Geopolitical tensions, protectionist policies, and the effects of climate change on routes such as the Canal de Panamá They point out that companies must prepare for an environment of sustained logistical uncertainty, integrating resilience into their internationalization strategy.

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