Cesce analyzes the major geopolitical challenges for 2026: from global debt and Generation Z to the Taiwan conflict

Geopolitics and Country Risk

Cesce will present its 'International Panorama Report 2026' on June 17th in Madrid, a key analysis of the trends that will shape global business. Country risk experts will address topics ranging from the geopolitics of debt and the impact of Generation Z to ocean control and tensions in Taiwan.

On June 17, Cesce will present its influential International Outlook Report 2026 in the Fundación Ortega-Marañón de MadridThe event, key for managers and exporters, will analyze the geopolitical and economic trends that will define global trade in the short and medium term, offering a roadmap for strategic decision-making in an increasingly complex environment.

The opening of the event will be carried out by Pablo de Ramón-Laca, CEO of CesceThis will be followed by two roundtables featuring economists from the company's Country Risk unit. These experts will explain the key aspects of a report that has become a benchmark tool for Spanish companies with an international focus.

Geopolitics of Debt and the Z Revolution: New Axes of Power

The first panel discussion will focus on two phenomena that are reshaping the balance of power and markets. On the one hand, the "geopolitics of debt"a critical factor that determines the stability of nations and the financing conditions for businesses. On the other hand, the impact of "Revolution Z"Analyzing how new generations are transforming consumption patterns, the labor market, and social dynamics on a global scale.

This panel will feature the perspectives of Lidia Candal, the economist responsible for Africa, and Mª José ChaguacedaThe economist responsible for Latin America, two key regions in these dynamics, will participate. The panel will be moderated by Ricardo Santamaría, director of Cesce Country Risk and Debt Management, who will guide the discussion on how these challenges affect foreign trade operations.

Control of the Oceans and the Battle for Taiwan: Keys to Maritime Geopolitics

The second part of the day will address one of the most sensitive points for logistics and international trade: the geopolitics of the seaExperts will analyze the growing struggle for control of the oceans, strategic trade routes, and their direct impact on supply chains. Special focus will be placed on the battle for Taiwán, a latent conflict with the potential to destabilize the global economy.

The analysis will come from Rafael Loring, the economist responsible for Asia, and Pablo ArjonaThe economist responsible for the Middle East, whose regions are the epicenter of these tensions, will be in charge of moderation. Mª José Hernando, head of the Unit of Cesce Country risk.

Detailed Event Agenda

Time	Activity	Participants
11h AM	Reception of assistants
12h AM	Opening	Pablo de Ramón-Laca (Chief Executive of Cesce)
12h AM	Round Table: Challenges of the 21st Century: Geopolitics of Debt and Revolution Z	Lidia Candal Economist responsible for Africa of Cesce Risk country Mª José Chaguaceda Economist responsible for Latin America of Cesce Risk country Moderated by: Ricardo Santamaria Director de Cesce Country Risk and Debt Management
13h AM	Round Table: Geopolitics of the Sea: Control of the Oceans and the Battle for Taiwán	Rafael Loring Economist responsible for Asia at Cesce Risk country Pablo Arjona Economist responsible for the Middle East of Cesce Risk country Moderated by: Mª José Hernando Head of the Unit Cesce Risk country
13h AM	Cocktail and networking

Key points and frequently asked questions about the Cesce International Panorama Report 2026

Why is this report relevant for a Spanish exporting company?
The report provides a predictive and country risk analysis that is essential for strategic planning. It allows managers to anticipate volatility in key markets, assess the creditworthiness of international clients and partners, and adapt their expansion plans to the geopolitical reality, minimizing risks and identifying business opportunities.
What direct implications does the analysis on 'control of the oceans' have for international logistics?
This analysis directly impacts supply chains. Tensions on strategic maritime routes, such as those surrounding TaiwánThese risks can cause disruptions, increased freight costs, and higher transport insurance premiums. Understanding these risks is vital for optimizing logistics and ensuring the delivery of goods.
How does the 'geopolitics of debt' affect the financing of foreign trade operations?
A country's debt level is a direct indicator of its sovereign risk. It affects the stability of its currency, the reliability of its banking systems, and the ability of its companies to pay. For a Spanish exporter, understanding this factor is crucial for negotiating secure payment terms and obtaining the appropriate export credit insurance, such as that offered by [Company Name]. Cesce.

Registration: